- River Forecast Centre
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- Related Links
- Glossary of Terms
- River Forecast Contacts
This page provides information of the current year's snow melt freshet season. Additional information will be added as it becomes available.
Current River Discharge and Water Level Information: Hydrometric information is updated daily during the spring freshet period. The Map of Streamflow Return Periods for all Real-time Water Survey of Canada (WSC) stations in BC provides information on the latest discharge and water level data for 361 Real-time WSC hydrometric stations.
Provincial River Outlook: A weekly commentary on current river conditions and outlook on the short-term and seasonal potential for flood conditions.
Flow Forecasts: The River Forecast Centre provides flow forecasts from two numeric, hydrologic models. The WARNS Model covers the Fraser River and Skeena River, and the CLEVER Model covers most of the snow-dominated watersheds in BC. There may be discrepancies between the two models' outputs at the same locations. These discrepancies reflect the differences of physics, methodology, structure, and calibration of the two models. However, the discrepancies between the forecast flows for a given location are not significant and comparison of the models' results may provide a better understanding about the forecasts.
The WARNS Model Fraser River Flow Forecasts: The WARNS Model is based on the UBC Watershed Model with some adaptions to improve routing and snowmelt. Output from the model includes a table of 10-day flow forecasts for select forecast points in the Fraser River watershed. The model is typically operated from late spring until late June. The following link provides the current outputs from the WARNS Model 10-day Forecast for the Fraser River. Due to reduced flood risk from snowmelt, June 27 2016 will be the final model run for the 2016 season.
The CLEVER Model flow forecasts: The CLEVER (Channel Links Evolution Efficient Routing) Model is a hybrid model which consists of a lumped watershed routing sub-model and a distributed, physics-based open channel routing sub-model. For more information about the CLEVER Model, please follow this link (1.2M PDF file). The following links provide the current outputs from the CLEVER Model (2017 Pre-freshet testing runs only):
1. Google Map of the CLEVER Model 10-day Forecasts of Discharges and Return Periods
2. CLEVER Model 10-day Forecast Outlook
Lower Fraser River Modelling Information: An overview of river flow and river level forecasting operations for the Lower Fraser River.
Lower Fraser River Water Level Forecast : Water level forecasts for the Lower Fraser River are produced using the Fraser River MIKE11 hydraulic model based on flows forecasted by River Forecast Centre. The hydraulic model has inherent limitations, inaccuracies and potential errors, and its performance and accuracy is based on past flow and water level observations that may not necessarily reflect subsequent channel and floodplain changes, flow discrepancies and surface roughness variations. Tabulated computed water levels should be treated as estimates and are provided for guidance only.
For the locations of Lower Fraser River Water Level Forecast, please click this link: Lower Fraser River Gauge Location Map.
This link is a PDF map generated with EC's 10-day Forecasts of Daily Average Temperature and 24H Precipitation (10 page PDF file), which is updated daily during the freshet season.