COFFEE Model 5-day Forecast of Discharges and Return Periods

Note: This model is only updated when a rainfall event is occurring or forecast to occur over the coastal areas.


This map includes the following 3 layers: 1. COFFEE Model 5 Day Forecast - Maximum (current view); 2. COFFEE Model 5 Day Forecast - Average; and, 3. COFFEE Model 5 Day Forecast - Minimum.
Instruction: 1. To select a different layer or show the legend, scroll down to the bottom of the map, click the layer or legend icon. 2. Click on a station to show station information and the forecast maximum discharge/water level and return period in the next 5 days. 3. Click "More info" on the pop-up information window to view the forecast hydrograph for the station.

Click here to view the full screen map.

Colour Scheme for Return Periods:
Legend

Numerical Output of the COFFEE Model 5-day Forecasts:
  1. Northwest.  2. Skeena-Nass.  3. Central Coast.    4. South Coast.  5. Vancouver Island.

Links:
  1. Technical Reference for the COFFEE Model (1.6M PDF)
  2. Map of 10-day Forecast of Daily Average Temperature and 24H Precipitation (10 page PDF file)
  3. Map of Current Streamflow Conditions for All Real-time Stations in BC
  4. CLEVER Model 10-day Forecast of Discharges and Return Periods
  5. Map of ELF Model 30-Day Low Streamflow Forecast
  6. Map of 7-Day Average Streamflow
  7. Current Advisories and Flood Warnings
  8. Current and forecast streamflows
  9. Home of River Forecast Centre

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Note of Data Sources:
  1. The observed discharge and water level data are provided by the Water Survey of Canada (Disclaimer for Hydrometric Information and Terms and conditions), and represent the most current reading between midnight and 8AM on the current date.
  2. Return Periods are expressed in years and reflect the discharge rate associated with the statistical probability of the annual maximum discharge of the historical record for a given station. Data shown on the map indicate the forecast range of discharge at a site for this forecast period.

Disclaimer:
Users should use the information on this map with caution and do so at their own risk.

  Modeling Uncertainty and Disclaimer: This forecast is derived from the COFFEE Model, a hydrological model using third-party data as inputs. The model has two categories of uncertainty or forecast errors, systematic errors from the model’s intrinsic limitations and random errors inherited from the input data. Therefore, it can be expected that the model forecasts are different from the observations. It is also possible that the actual flow is higher than the forecast upper bound or lower than the forecast lower bound. Users of this forecast must accept all responsibility for their use and interpretation. Please follow the links below for more information:
Detailed explanation of forecast chart and Technical reference for the COFFEE Model